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La Liga hot lines

20 hot lines for 4 matches on Saturday 24 October.

  1. Match under 3.5 goals — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 8 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 74% of La Liga games.
  2. Match over 3.5 cards — Rayo Vallecano v Elche: hit in 8 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 74% of La Liga games.
  3. Atletico Madrid most shots on target or level — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 8 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 56% of La Liga games.
  4. Atletico Madrid over 2.5 shots on target — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 8 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 74% of La Liga games.
  5. Atletico Madrid over 3.5 shots on target — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 19 of Atletico Madrid’s last 20 home games, against 56% of La Liga games.
  6. Match under 6.5 cards — Rayo Vallecano v Elche: hit in 18 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 72% of La Liga games.
  7. Atletico Madrid over 10.5 shots — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 18 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 57% of La Liga games.
  8. Rayo Vallecano over 12.5 shots — Rayo Vallecano v Elche: hit in 18 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 20 home games, against 41% of La Liga games.
  9. Match over 22.5 shots — Rayo Vallecano v Elche: hit in 18 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 20 home games, against 57% of La Liga games.
  10. Atletico Madrid under 2.5 cards — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 7 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 52% of La Liga games.
  11. Deportivo under 0.5 first-half goals — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 7 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 57% of La Liga games.
  12. Deportivo under 12.5 shots — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 7 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 59% of La Liga games.
  13. Atletico Madrid most corners or level — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 7 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 55% of La Liga games.
  14. Rayo Vallecano over 10.5 shots — Rayo Vallecano v Elche: hit in 7 of 8 meetings between the clubs, against 57% of La Liga games.
  15. Valencia under 0.5 first-half goals — Valencia v Villarreal: hit in 17 of Valencia’s last 20 home games, against 57% of La Liga games.
  16. Match over 7.5 shots on target — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 17 of Atletico Madrid’s last 20 home games, against 58% of La Liga games.
  17. Elche under 1.5 goals — Rayo Vallecano v Elche: hit in 17 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 20 home games, against 63% of La Liga games.
  18. Rayo Vallecano over 3.5 shots on target — Rayo Vallecano v Elche: hit in 17 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 20 home games, against 56% of La Liga games.
  19. Deportivo under 4.5 shots on target — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 17 of Atletico Madrid’s last 20 home games, against 61% of La Liga games.
  20. Match under 5.5 cards — Atletico Madrid v Deportivo: hit in 16 of Atletico Madrid’s last 20 home games, against 58% of La Liga games.

What a hot line is

A hot line is one that has hit in at least 85% of a club’s recent games, or in at least 80% when two samples agree, and that sits well above the league’s rate. The samples are the clubs’ head-to-head meetings and each club’s last 20 games at home or away. It shows what has happened, not what will.

On Saturday 24 October there are 20 hot lines across 4 La Liga matches. Each line is listed with how often it has hit and the league’s rate for comparison.

Questions

What is a hot line?

A hot line is one that has hit in at least 85% of a club’s recent games, or in at least 80% when two samples agree, and that sits well above the league’s rate. The samples are the clubs’ head-to-head meetings and each club’s last 20 games at home or away.

How are the lines ordered?

By hit rate first, so a line that hit every time comes before one that hit 17 of 20, then by price where one is listed, and then by how far above the league rate it sits.

Do hot lines predict anything?

No. They count how often a line has hit in past matches. What to make of that is up to you.

La Liga matches · La Liga stats by market