Ligue 1 hot lines

5 hot lines for 2 matches on Saturday 24 October.

Match over 22.5 shots — Toulouse v Troyes: hit in 18 of Troyes’ last 20 away games, against 60% of Ligue 1 games.
Paris FC under 4.5 shots on target — Lens v Paris FC: hit in 17 of Lens’ last 20 home games, against 59% of Ligue 1 games.
Toulouse under 3.5 saves — Toulouse v Troyes: hit in 17 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 66% of Ligue 1 games.
Toulouse over 12.5 shots — Toulouse v Troyes: hit in 17 of Troyes’ last 20 away games, against 43% of Ligue 1 games.
Lens over 10.5 shots — Lens v Paris FC: hit in 17 of Lens’ last 20 home games, against 60% of Ligue 1 games.

What a hot line is

A hot line is one that has hit in at least 85% of a club’s recent games, or in at least 80% when two samples agree, and that sits well above the league’s rate. The samples are the clubs’ head-to-head meetings and each club’s last 20 games at home or away. It shows what has happened, not what will.

On Saturday 24 October there are 5 hot lines across 2 Ligue 1 matches. Each line is listed with how often it has hit and the league’s rate for comparison.

Questions

What is a hot line?

How are the lines ordered?

By hit rate first, so a line that hit every time comes before one that hit 17 of 20, then by price where one is listed, and then by how far above the league rate it sits.

Do hot lines predict anything?

No. They count how often a line has hit in past matches. What to make of that is up to you.