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Primeira Liga hot lines

16 hot lines for 3 matches on Saturday 24 October.

  1. Estrela Amadora under 6.5 corners — Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia: hit in 20 of Estrela Amadora’s last 20 home games, against 72% of Primeira Liga games.
  2. Porto over 10.5 shots — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 14 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 58% of Primeira Liga games.
  3. Estrela Amadora over 10.5 shots — Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia: hit in 6 of 6 meetings between the clubs, against 58% of Primeira Liga games.
  4. Porto most shots — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 14 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 47% of Primeira Liga games.
  5. Porto most shots or level — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 14 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 53% of Primeira Liga games.
  6. Gil Vicente under 4.5 corners — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 13 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 48% of Primeira Liga games.
  7. Porto most corners or level — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 13 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 54% of Primeira Liga games.
  8. Porto most shots on target or level — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 13 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 56% of Primeira Liga games.
  9. Porto over 3.5 shots on target — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 18 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 56% of Primeira Liga games.
  10. Gil Vicente under 4.5 shots on target — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 12 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 62% of Primeira Liga games.
  11. Porto under 3.5 saves — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 12 of 14 meetings between the clubs, against 69% of Primeira Liga games.
  12. Porto win — Gil Vicente v Porto: hit in 17 of Porto’s last 20 away games, against 31% of Primeira Liga games.
  13. Match under 5.5 cards — Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia: hit in 5 of 6 meetings between the clubs, against 55% of Primeira Liga games.
  14. Casa Pia under 1.5 goals — Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia: hit in 5 of 6 meetings between the clubs, against 63% of Primeira Liga games.
  15. Casa Pia under 12.5 shots — Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia: hit in 5 of 6 meetings between the clubs, against 58% of Primeira Liga games.
  16. Casa Pia under 4.5 shots on target — Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia: hit in 5 of 6 meetings between the clubs, against 62% of Primeira Liga games.

What a hot line is

A hot line is one that has hit in at least 85% of a club’s recent games, or in at least 80% when two samples agree, and that sits well above the league’s rate. The samples are the clubs’ head-to-head meetings and each club’s last 20 games at home or away. It shows what has happened, not what will.

On Saturday 24 October there are 16 hot lines across 3 Primeira Liga matches. Each line is listed with how often it has hit and the league’s rate for comparison.

Questions

What is a hot line?

A hot line is one that has hit in at least 85% of a club’s recent games, or in at least 80% when two samples agree, and that sits well above the league’s rate. The samples are the clubs’ head-to-head meetings and each club’s last 20 games at home or away.

How are the lines ordered?

By hit rate first, so a line that hit every time comes before one that hit 17 of 20, then by price where one is listed, and then by how far above the league rate it sits.

Do hot lines predict anything?

No. They count how often a line has hit in past matches. What to make of that is up to you.

Primeira Liga matches · Primeira Liga stats by market