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Scottish Premiership hot lines

27 hot lines for 4 matches on Saturday 24 October.

  1. St Johnstone under 4.5 shots on target — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 20 of Rangers’ last 20 home games, against 60% of Scottish Premiership games.
  2. Match over 20.5 shots — St Mirren v Dundee: hit in 20 of St Mirren’s last 20 home games, against 64% of Scottish Premiership games.
  3. St Johnstone over 1.5 saves — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 12 of 12 meetings between the clubs, against 73% of Scottish Premiership games.
  4. Kilmarnock under 14.5 shots — Falkirk v Kilmarnock: hit in 20 of Kilmarnock’s last 20 away games, against 74% of Scottish Premiership games.
  5. Rangers most shots — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 27 of 28 meetings between the clubs, against 48% of Scottish Premiership games.
  6. Rangers most shots or level — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 27 of 28 meetings between the clubs, against 52% of Scottish Premiership games.
  7. St Johnstone under 12.5 shots — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 27 of 28 meetings between the clubs, against 63% of Scottish Premiership games.
  8. Dundee under 12.5 shots — St Mirren v Dundee: hit in 21 of 22 meetings between the clubs, against 63% of Scottish Premiership games.
  9. Dundee United over 10.5 shots — Dundee United v Aberdeen: hit in 19 of Dundee United’s last 20 home games, against 51% of Scottish Premiership games.
  10. Rangers under 3.5 saves — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 19 of Rangers’ last 20 home games, against 68% of Scottish Premiership games.
  11. Kilmarnock under 7.5 corners — Falkirk v Kilmarnock: hit in 19 of Falkirk’s last 20 home games, against 80% of Scottish Premiership games.
  12. Match over 4.5 saves — St Mirren v Dundee: hit in 19 of Dundee’s last 20 away games, against 66% of Scottish Premiership games.
  13. Falkirk over 8.5 shots — Falkirk v Kilmarnock: hit in 19 of Kilmarnock’s last 20 away games, against 67% of Scottish Premiership games.
  14. St Mirren over 8.5 shots — St Mirren v Dundee: hit in 19 of St Mirren’s last 20 home games, against 67% of Scottish Premiership games.
  15. Rangers over 8.5 shots — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 26 of 28 meetings between the clubs, against 67% of Scottish Premiership games.
  16. Match over 24.5 shots — Dundee United v Aberdeen: hit in 18 of Dundee United’s last 20 home games, against 38% of Scottish Premiership games.
  17. Rangers over 3.5 shots on target — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 18 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 55% of Scottish Premiership games.
  18. Rangers most shots on target or level — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 18 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 62% of Scottish Premiership games.
  19. Match over 20.5 shots — Falkirk v Kilmarnock: hit in 18 of Falkirk’s last 20 home games, against 64% of Scottish Premiership games.
  20. Dundee under 2.5 cards — St Mirren v Dundee: hit in 18 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 70% of Scottish Premiership games.
  21. Aberdeen over 1.5 saves — Dundee United v Aberdeen: hit in 18 of Dundee United’s last 20 home games, against 73% of Scottish Premiership games.
  22. Rangers over 12.5 shots — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 18 of Rangers’ last 20 home games, against 37% of Scottish Premiership games.
  23. Rangers most shots on target — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 17 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 52% of Scottish Premiership games.
  24. Rangers most corners or level — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 17 of 20 meetings between the clubs, against 62% of Scottish Premiership games.
  25. Match over 22.5 shots — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 17 of Rangers’ last 20 home games, against 51% of Scottish Premiership games.
  26. St Johnstone fewer shots — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 17 of St Johnstone’s last 20 away games, against 56% of Scottish Premiership games.
  27. St Johnstone under 10.5 shots — Rangers v St Johnstone: hit in 23 of 28 meetings between the clubs, against 49% of Scottish Premiership games.

What a hot line is

A hot line is one that has hit in at least 85% of a club’s recent games, or in at least 80% when two samples agree, and that sits well above the league’s rate. The samples are the clubs’ head-to-head meetings and each club’s last 20 games at home or away. It shows what has happened, not what will.

On Saturday 24 October there are 27 hot lines across 4 Scottish Premiership matches. Each line is listed with how often it has hit and the league’s rate for comparison.

Questions

What is a hot line?

A hot line is one that has hit in at least 85% of a club’s recent games, or in at least 80% when two samples agree, and that sits well above the league’s rate. The samples are the clubs’ head-to-head meetings and each club’s last 20 games at home or away.

How are the lines ordered?

By hit rate first, so a line that hit every time comes before one that hit 17 of 20, then by price where one is listed, and then by how far above the league rate it sits.

Do hot lines predict anything?

No. They count how often a line has hit in past matches. What to make of that is up to you.

Scottish Premiership matches · Scottish Premiership stats by market